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Game-theoretic approach to tourism supply chain coordination under demand uncertainty for package holidays

机译:套票假期需求不确定下旅游供应链协调的博弈论方法

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摘要

Demand uncertainty is one of the most significant characteristics of the tourism industry. In a typical tourism supply chain (TSC) for package holidays, multiple tour operators reserve rooms from a hotel chain in advance according to their demand predictions. Discrepancies between demand predictions and actual demand lead to shortages or unused room reservations, which inevitably leads to reduced profits for the tour operators concerned. This article examines different TSC coordination strategies to determine how they can be used to help alleviate such negative effects. A game-theoretic approach is used to analyze the different coordination relationships between TSC players. Two coordination programs are discussed. The first is a horizontal coordination program in which tour operators exchange shortages or unused reservations with each other. The second is a vertical coordination program in which tour operators trade shortages or unused reservations with hotel chains. Game models are established and analyzed for the two coordination strategies and uncoordinated conditions, respectively. The analytical results suggest that both coordination strategies can be used to reduce the negative impacts of the demand uncertainty. The results also show that the horizontal coordination is preferred to the vertical coordination when the competition among tour operators is fierce.
机译:需求不确定性是旅游业最重要的特征之一。在用于度假旅行的典型旅游供应链(TSC)中,多个旅行社根据他们的需求预测从旅馆链中提前预订房间。需求预测与实际需求之间的差异会导致短缺或未预订房间,这必然会导致相关旅行社的利润减少。本文研究了不同的TSC协调策略,以确定如何将其用于帮助减轻此类负面影响。博弈论方法用于分析TSC玩家之间的不同协调关系。讨论了两个协调程序。第一个是横向协调计划,其中旅行社彼此交换短缺或未使用的预订。第二个是纵向协调计划,其中旅行社与连锁酒店交易短缺或未使用的预订。建立并分析了两种协调策略和不协调条件的博弈模型。分析结果表明,两种协调策略均可用于减少需求不确定性的负面影响。结果还表明,当旅游经营者之间的竞争激烈时,横向协调优于纵向协调。

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